NCAAF Week 7 GotW: Texas Tech @ Baylor (-10)

Big 12 Logo     Raise your hand if you thought the Baylor Bears would be undefeated heading into Week 7?  I have a feeling that not many of you raised your hands.  That doesn’t mean they are a Big 12 Power and will steamroll the competition by simply showing up, especially against a Texas Tech team that showed grit in their last game.  The Texas Tech Red Raiders shocked Oklahoma State, beating them at their own game by outscoring the Cowboys.  Can they shock the College Football world again?

Texas Tech (3-2) come into this week off the back of an emotional victory over Oklahoma State.  The offense finally showed signs of life by scoring 45 points in the win, reverting back to early season form.  Junior quarterback Jett Duffey came alive in his first start of the year, throwing for over 400 yards and 4 touchdowns.  He hopes to carry that momentum into this week against the Baylor Bears.

The Baylor defense is not the Cowboys of Oklahoma State and I wouldn’t count on the Red Raiders hanging half a hundred on this stingy squad.  In fact, the Bears have a top 25 defense and have propped up this team, making it worthy of their #22 AP ranking this week.  The offense is methodical and has assisted in ensuring this team has stayed undefeated.  With the strong defense, the offense hasn’t been asked to score much and they haven’t needed to.  Will this be enough against the top teams in the Big 12?  Probably not but it should be this week vs. Texas Tech.

This game should be interesting and will show the world whether the Baylor Bears are for real or the undefeated season is all smoke and mirrors due to the schedule.  The Elldee Sports team has run the formula and they are calling for a Baylor cover and an under in this Game of the Week.  Until next time, good luck!

Baylor 35 – Texas Tech 7

Baylor -10 and Under 58

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Week 4 NCAAF GotW: Oklahoma State @ Texas (-5.5)

Big 12 Logo     Time has arrived for College Football to go wholesale into conference competition.  I know, I know, there have already been conference matchups but starting this week, a majority of teams will play conference foes.  That is no different in the Big XII and one of the best games of the week for all of the NCAA is the Oklahoma State Cowboys at the Texas Longhorns.  Let’s jump right in to this matchup.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys travel down from Stillwater, OK and bring one of the most potent offenses in the country.  In fact, they have the NCAA’s leading rusher in Chuba Hubbard, who also leads the country in rushing TDs!  The Pokes are not only a rushing team though.  They also throw for over 260 yards per game.  These numbers are good enough to account for 50 more yards per game than the Longhorns.  Even the defense is playing better than Texas, at least statistically, holding opponents to 30 yards less per game.  Add all of that in to fact that Texas has not beaten Oklahoma St. in 5 years and have not won at home in Austin in 10 and you can make a compelling argument for the Cowboys to steal another on the road.

Texas is having none of it though!  You can bring up a 4-game losing streak  to the Longhorn players and they will all say the same thing…this isn’t the same Texas.  They would be right, too.  This year’s Texas squad has higher expectations than any this decade and those expectations are realistic this time.  Sam Ehlinger leads the Longhorns and has proven to be adept at reading defenses that are much better than Oklahoma State’s defense.  Texas will be playing with a chip on their shoulder and have been tested once already this season.  Emotions will be high and the Longhorns are gonna be pumped up for this one!

So how are these teams going to fare against each other this week?  The Elldee Sports Formula is calling for a high scoring affair, with the Oklahoma State Cowboys ultimately coming out on top.  Texas has shown that they are vulnerable in the secondary after giving up just under 500 yards through the air vs LSU.  Oklahoma State is known more for passing than LSU.  The problem is that the Longhorns cannot load up on DBs with Chuba Hubbard waiting to gain 8 yards a pop!  Don’t worry about Texas, though.  They have the offensive fire-power to keep up in this matchup.  Until next time, good luck.

Oklahoma State 52 – Texas 47

Oklahoma State (+5.5) and Over 73

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Big Twelve: Is a Storm Brewing on the Prairies?

Big 12 Logo     When you think of the Big XII, you think about Oklahoma and rightly so.  The Sooners have won 12 conference championships since 2000, including the last 4 straight.  Will Oklahoma pull off the five-peat?  They are facing steep competition as Texas has had a resurgence, to the delight of the Lone Star State.

Oklahoma is not the only team in the Big XII, though.  The fighting Gary Patterson’s in Ft. Worth are known for a stingy defense and can usually slow down any of the high-powered offenses that the conference will throw at them.  This year may be different as TCU only brings back 4 of their starting 11 on the defensive side of the ball.  That means the Horned Frogs will be forced to rely on their offense to keep them in games more than they would like, particularly in the early part of the season.  This does not bode well as they struggled mightily to score points for much of the season last year.  A good measuring stick for this squad will be in Week 3 when they travel to face a re-tooled Purdue squad, led by Jeff Brohm, in Indiana.  Expect TCU to only win 7 this year and fall well short of competing for the title.

Texas, on the other hand, is the hottest team coming into the season following the 28-21  Sugar Bowl victory over the Georgia Bulldogs!  Sit back and think to yourself how much Georgia really wanted to be in that game.  Now,  Georgia is a solid team and is difficult to beat at any time but they just came off of a 7-point loss to Alabama.  Are you trying to tell me that Texas is as good as Alabama?  I don’t think so.  Tom Herman has the boys from Texas playing well and are getting better all of the time but don’t expect a miracle this season.  Texas will win 9 and look good but will falter against LSU in week 2 and then drop games against the two teams that will play for the conference championship.

Those two teams consist of a familiar face and an up and coming team that plays with spark and grit!  Oklahoma will finish with 11 wins, only dropping one, carried by the feet of their third new quarterback in 3 years, Jalen Hurts.  Hurts knows how to win and has played with the heart of a lion.  Expect Oklahoma to roll and barely miss a beat.

The second team is coming in on the storm clouds.  The Iowa State Cyclones bring back 14 starters, 7 on offense and 7 on defense, from a young team that went 8-4 last season.  Matt Campbell is coming into his fourth season with the Cyclones and has no excuses this year as all of the players are now his recruits.  Additionally, the schedule sets up well for this experienced bunch as 3 of the 4 teams they lost to in the regular season last year will be traveling to Ames this time around.  Count on Iowa State to finish with 10 wins with only one conference loss, to Oklahoma in Norman.

The conference championship game will pair Oklahoma vs Iowa State in a rematch, as all Big XII Championship games are after a round-robin schedule.  No matter where you play the game, though, Oklahoma just has too much firepower for the Cyclones to upset.  I’m predicting a 40-21 Sooner victory but due to a loss during the regular season, the Sooners will fail to make the CFB Playoffs, their first whiff in 3 years, likely going to the Sugar Bowl.  Until next time, good luck!

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