AFC East: With Brady Gone, is a New Sheriff in Town?

AFC Logo     With Tom Brady out of the picture, will this be the year that one of the other teams in the AFC East finally break the stranglehold that the New England Patriots have had on the division? That’s an interesting question but with the caliber of the teams in this division, it doesn’t look like it will change. The division is made up of perennial powerhouse New England, along with the upstart Buffalo Bills, the Miami Dolphins, and the New York Jets. Let’s dive into the season as predicted by the Elldee Sports Formula.

Buffalo Bills Logo     Buffalo Bills: 2019 Record 10-6 — 2020 Predicted Record 6-10

The Buffalo Bills had an impressive 2019 season and in a perfect world would continue to improve. The problem that they are running into is that after finishing 2nd in the AFC East last season, the schedule this year gets exponentially more difficult. They have a solid core on offense with Josh Allen at quarterback but until he can prove that he can lead an effective passing offense, the Bills will struggle to be consistent. They were one of the best rushing teams and one of the worst passing teams last season. The Bills are hoping that the addition of Stefon Diggs can spark a lethargic passing attack. Luckily, the bottom dwellers in the division are really bad enabling them to finish 2nd in the division again but they won’t sniff the playoffs this year.

Miami Dolphins Logo     Miami Dolphins: 2019 Record 5-11 — 2020 Predicted Record 2-14

In Miami, the Dolphins are going to be behind the power curve thanks to COVID-19. The lack of team workouts are going to stunt the growth of first-round draft pick Tua Tagovailoa. The silver lining is that they would most likely have started Ryan Fitzpatrick anyways but he has proved so inconsistent that you never know if he is going to throw five TDs or deliver a dud. That is not promising when the rushing game was dead last in the NFL last season. Compound that with the 30th ranked defense and you have a recipe for a 2-win season.

NYJ Logo     New York Jets: 2019 Record 7-9 — 2020 Predicted Record 1-15

If you are a Miami fan, be grateful that you are not a New York Jets supporter. The Elldee Sports Formula is predicting the Jets to be one of the worst teams in the league this upcoming season. I don’t necessarily agree with this prediction but numbers are numbers and they don’t lie. Quarterback Sam Darnold just hasn’t developed into the professional star that many thought he would coming out of college. LeVeon Bell was once a superb playmaker but hasn’t flashed the same brilliance that he did in Pittsburgh. The offense finished last year dead last in the NFL and they did not make any blockbuster moves to change that. The lone bright spot was the defense but letting Jamal Adams get away is not going to help matters. Mind you, trading him for two first-round picks makes me believe that they are looking to the future, not the present.

New England Patriots Logo     New England Patriots: 2019 Record 12-4 — 2020 Predicted Record 13-3

The New England Patriots have been NFL royalty since the turn of the century. In fact, they have won the AFC East 17 times in a 19-year period, including 11 straight 1st place finishes. The division and league finally thought that they would get a reprieve from the Patriot dominance as Tom Brady left for sunnier pastures in Tampa Bay. That is, until the Pats just went out and picked up former NFL MVP Cam Newton. With a healthy Newton, New England will be just fine on offense and Bill Belichick is a coaching genius on the defensive side of the ball. Expect the Patriots to continue the streak and finish 1st for the 12th straight year.

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AFC South: Will Tennessee Build on Last Season’s Success?

AFC Logo     After an up-and-down 2019 regular season, the Tennessee Titans closed it out with a miraculous run ending in the AFC Championship game.  Did that run make them even more hungry for this season?  The AFC South consists of the already mentioned Tennessee Titans, the Houston Texans, the Indianapolis Colts, and the Jacksonville Jaguars.  Although it did not play out how they hoped in the playoffs, the Houston Texans were the Divisional Champions.  Can the Texans hold the top spot this season as well?

Houston Texans Logo Houston Texans:  2019 Record 10-6 — 2020 Predicted Record 7-9

The Houston Texans are the reigning AFC South Champions.  In fact, the Texans have come out on top of the AFC South four of the last five seasons.  This has been due in part to a balanced offense and an opportunistic defense.  The offense has been kept afloat by quarterback Deshaun Watson and a pair of top-notch receivers in DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller V.  This season, though, Hopkins has been shipped out while Brandin Cooks was brought in to pick up the slack, as he suits up for his third different team in four seasons.  David Johnson has also been picked up at the RB position to help ease the load for do-everything QB Watson.  If the defense can stay healthy and improve production, the Texans will have a shot to outperform the 7-9 prediction but with Tennessee and Indianapolis on the rise, don’t expect it.

Indy Colts Logo     Indianapolis Colts:  2019 Record 7-9 — 2020 Predicted Record 11-5

The Indianapolis Colts made the biggest splash move of the AFC South in the offseason.  After boasting the #7 rushing offense in the NFL but the #30 passing offense, the Colts went out and got the 8-time Pro Bowler, Philip Rivers.  The hope is that Rivers can gel with his new receivers quickly and make a jump in the win column.  The Covid quarantine put a damper on building chemistry but a savvy veteran like Rivers will find a way to be prepared.  The defense was strong against the rush last year, giving up under 100 ypg but the pass defense had much to be desired.  With a better offensive attack, the defense should be able to stay off of the field longer and produce better than the middle-of-the-pack numbers that we saw last year.

Jacksonville Jags Logo Jacksonville Jaguars:  2019 Record 6-10 — 2020 Predicted Record 4-12

The Jacksonville Jaguars seem to always be in reverse.  In eight of the last nine seasons, the Jags have won six games or less.  The one outlier was a 10-6 season in 2017.  Talent evaluation has been a large problem as they have regularly received high draft picks, only to watch them fall to the wayside on and off the field.  The city of Jacksonville would love to see this become the year that their team turns the corner but unless Gardner Minshew can increase his 42.6 QBR while Leonard Fournette stays healthy for an entire season, the likelihood is not there.  The defense was one of the worst in the league defending the run at almost 140 ypg.  Additionally, the squad did not do enough in the draft to shore up that problem, adding CJ Henderson to an already solid pass defense with the first-round pick.

Tennessee Titans Logo  Tennessee Titans:  2019 Record 9-7 — 2020 Predicted Record 14-2

Following a regular season that found the Tennessee Titans finishing just one game above .500, they turned in some of the best football in the NFL.  First traveling on the road to defeat an always dangerous New England squad but then following that performance up with a dismantling of the top-seeded Ravens in Baltimore.  What do they have for an encore in 2020?  The Titans used a bruising running game and a deceptively good passing attack in 2019.  With a small draft class, they bolstered that offense, grabbing Isaiah Wilson in the first round, a top OT from Georgia.  The defense will need to improve if they hope to make the jump from Wildcard contender to Superbowl winner, though.  If some of the young defenders round in to the form that the Titan Coaching Staff hopes, anything is possible.

AFC West: Can Anyone Challenge KC?

AFC Logo     Who is afraid of the big bad wolf?  In the AFC West, that wolf is the Kansas City Chiefs.  The division consists of the reigning NFL Champion Kansas City squad, the Denver Broncos, Los Angeles Chargers, and the Las Vegas Raiders.  Have any of the three competitors gathered enough firepower to take the throne?

Denver Broncos Logo     Denver Broncos:  2019 Record 7-9 — 2020 Predicted Record 2-15

Denver does not look to have a very good year this season.  After finishing 28th in the NFL for overall offense, including 28th in passing, they needed to make some solid moves in the passing game.  The did draft star Alabama Receiver Jerry Jeudy but the biggest offensive move they made was picking up Melvin Gordon.  Gordon can catch out of the backfield and that may help move the chains but it is a dangerous game to count on an unproven quarterback and rookie receiver to bolster the offense.  Defensively this team did well to stay in the top 12 of the NFL, particularly strong against the pass but dropping to the lower half of the NFL against the run.  While it is true that the NFL is a passing league, if you struggle to stop the run, you will struggle to get off of the field.  For these reasons and the more difficult schedule this season, expect the Broncos to have a big drop off.

KC Logo     Kansas City Chiefs:  2019 Record 12-4 — 2020 Predicted Record 13-3

What did the Kansas City Chiefs do to cement their spot as king of the NFL?  Only went out and sign their youthful Superbowl MVP quarterback, Patrick Mahomes, to the largest deal in the history of the league.  They were also able to maintain the nucleus of one of the best offenses in the NFL, even adding Clyde Edwards-Helaire in the draft.  Edwards- Helaire proved in college that he can catch the ball out of the backfield and may be a better fit than current starter Damien Williams.  The defense was in the lower half of the league but it was no secret that the Chiefs strategy was to outscore their opponents.  Even still, the pass defense was better than average, coming in at #8.  The run defense was not #8, in fact it was almost at the bottom of the league.  If the Chiefs hope to take home the Lombardi trophy again this season, they will need to shore up some gaping holes in the run defense.

LA Chargers Logo v2     Los Angeles Chargers:  2019 Record 5-11 — 2020 Predicted Record 10-6

The Los Angeles Chargers are the team hoping to make a splash this season.  Big news out of LA was that the longtime QB Philip Rivers left town to find glory elsewhere.  With a glaring hole at quarterback, the Chargers will be depending on Tyrod Taylor to be a game manager until first-round draft pick Justin Herbert can adjust to the speed of the NFL.  The reason for the predicted turn-around has much less to do with the offense, though.  The ‘Bolts have a menacing defense, led by Joey Bosa that was top-5 vs the pass.  In fact, this team boasts talent at every level of the defense and are absolutely loaded on the D-line.  Expect big things from this group as they make a return to the playoffs this season.

Las Vegas Raiders Logo     Las Vegas Raiders:  2019 Record 7-9 — 2020 Predicted Record 7-9

New location, same result.  The Raiders will play their first season in Sin City this year.  They are not a bad team and could shock a squad or two this coming season as they return most of a team that boasted the #11 Offense and # 19 Defense in the NFL.  They are a balanced team with a solid quarterback in Derek Carr and an even better running back in Josh Jacobs.  The defense is solid and should improve this year as the chemistry builds.  Pile the talent in with a great offensive mind in Jon Gruden and the Raiders should be competitive.  The one downfall of this team is that they are in the AFC West and will struggle against KC and the Chargers.  They will once again finish 7-9 and miss the playoffs, even though the team will be better than last year.


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2021 NFL Playoff Prediction

This year has been unkind to sports.  Well, actually, this year has been unkind to a lot of things.  Luckily, the major sports leagues are attempting to find work arounds to bring back our beloved games.  Europe has already shown that it can work as the Premier League, Bundesliga, Serie A, and La Liga have all began playing soccer again, albeit without fans.  With the hopes that the American sports leagues can go on without any serious issues, Elldee Sports has gone forward with our 2021 NFL playoff prediction!  A little early?  Maybe, but in our current sport-starved environment, we hope this can bring a little joy and stimulate some discussion.

NFL Playoff 2021

Updated NFL Playoff Prediction

NFL Logo     The regular season of the National Football League has drawn to a close.  The Elldee Sports Formula has gone through a few tweaks but ultimately finished the regular season with a respectable 54.6% win percentage.

Now that the Playoff field has been set, a new playoff bracket has been generated and is now presented for your entertainment.  Until next time, good luck!

NFL Playoff 2020 Updated


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Turkey Day Blowout

NFL LogoThanksgiving is a time for reflection.  A time for showing appreciation for things you are grateful for.  A time for FOOTBALL!  This year’s slate is anchored by the usual suspects, the Detroit Lions and the Dallas Cowboys.  These Thanksgiving main-stays are joined by their opponents, the Chicago Bears and Buffalo Bills plus a third game between the New Orleans Saints and the Atlanta Falcons.

The crew here at Elldee Sports have run the numbers for the Thanksgiving games and the formula has come up with some pretty confident predictions.  We have strong leans on the winners of all three matchups.  Can the Lions turn the corner after an awful defeat at the hands of the Washington Redskins or will the Bears continue to scratch and claw towards the playoffs like a wild animal backed into a corner?  Will the Cowboys return to form on a short week or will Buffalo trip the home team?  Are the Atlanta Falcons just the next team to fall victim to Drew Brees and the Saints or will they prove last week’s loss to Tampa Bay was a fluke?

Come to for a complete score prediction and the win percentage for each game per the Elldee Sports Formula.  While you are there, you can look at the NCAAF, NBA, and NCAAM predictions.  We would also like to point out that on the year so far, the NCAAM predictions are 19-0 on the Moneyline for games with an 80% or higher projection!  Until next time, good luck.

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Weekend Full of Meaningful Matchups

Elldee Logo Original     The seasons are winding down on the gridiron and heating up on the courts.  This weekend is ready to provide some excitement on the turf and the hardwood, though, as we have Top-10 matchups in NCAA Football, heavyweights swinging in the NFL, early-season tourneys in NCAA Basketball, and teams jockeying for position in the NBA!

Starting things off on Friday night are College Basketball tournament action and big-time NBA matchups.  These are highlighted by the #1 Duke Blue Devils vs. the Georgetown Hoyas in the 2K Empire Classic in the world-famous Madison Square Garden.  Duke is favored by 13 and should easily cover that number in this early season test.  On the pro side of the sport, the Los Angeles Lakers are heading to Oklahoma City to put their 12-2 record on the line against the Thunder.  LA has the better record but OKC has home court advantage and 4.5-points on their side.  Look for OKC to stay within the spread and possibly even steal this one outright.

Saturday is the day where College Football is King!  The season is almost over and every game is important.  Any false moves now and there is no time for recovery in the playoff discussion.  There are no more impactful games this weekend in any sport than when the Penn State Nittany Lions travel to the Horseshoe to face THE Ohio State.  Although, not a de-facto playoff game, it may as well be as the loser will not make the 4-team tournament.  In a matchup of Top-10 teams, one would expect a tight game but that’s not the way Vegas sees it.  OSU is an 18-pt favorite in this one.  James Franklin is too good of a coach with too good of a team to get beaten that soundly.  Penn State and the points is what the Elldee Sports Formula is calling for.

Finally, the NFL is providing a game or two worth watching on Sunday to finish out the weekend.  There are only a few games with national appeal this weekend for the professional football league but boy are they whoppers!  In the early games, the cream of the crop has to be the Seattle Seahawks heading East to face the Philadelphia Eagles.  The numbers in the formula say the ‘Hawks by 8 but my mind says be wary of a team traveling from the West Coast for an early game.  In the afternoon slate, the Dallas Cowboys head to Foxboro to face the New England Patriots in what should be the game of the week.  The showcase should be the offense of Dallas vs the defense of NE in this mega-matchup.  The cold weather and travel is probably too much to overcome for the Cowboys with a prediction of a close 1-pt loss.

There are plenty of great options to choose from this weekend.  Sit down, grab a bag of popcorn and stay entertained!  Until next time, good luck!

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Prediction Recaps

NFL LogoNBA LogoNCAA LogoNCAA Logo 2Here at Elldee Sports, we are back up and running.  This includes all four sports that we predict, Professional Football and Basketball plus College Football and now College Basketball Top 25 games.

The NCAA Men’s Basketball world simply has too many teams and games to predict every single matchup.  I do not have enough time currently to run each individual game although we can run any matchup upon request.  This will be the first week that College Basketball will be posted and the rest of the season will be covered from this point on.

NBA matchups have been started to mixed results.  The formula had to have a minor tweak so that every game was not predicting the under.  After the first week, the NBA picks are not doing so hot.  Vs the Money Line, the picks are hitting 46.7% of the time.  Vs the Spread, the formula has been right only 45.5% of the time.  Vs the Total, we are finally in the positive, hitting on 52.8% of the games.  On a bright note, overall Spread and Total numbers have hit just on the plus side at 51.1% of the time.  Mind you, this has been a very small sample size and we fully expect these numbers to climb rapidly.

NCAA Football has been all over the place so far this season.  As the sample size grows, the formula becomes more accurate but due to a recent move, we have not been able to run numbers for the past 3 weeks.  Based off of the numbers that have been run so far, Elldee Sports has predicted a 77.3% Money Line win percentage.  Vs the Spread we have hit on 52% even.  Totals have gone 48% for the formula.  This has equaled a total of 49.8% overall with a strong chance to make a push here at the end of the season to end profitable in the college ranks.

Finally, the NFL has been our bread and butter.  Professional sports are much easier due to the fact that all teams are similar in talent and a small percentage of players move from team to team each year.  Keeping that in mind, the Money Line win percentage has been 65.2%.  The Money Line numbers are not eye-popping but the Spread covers have been a whopping 59.1% which has been absolutely stellar!  The Over/Under wins are rocking a 52.4%.  Additionally, the Overall win numbers have amounted to a solid 55.4%, good enough to be respectable.

Continue to follow Elldee Sports as all of the major sports are now in full swing.  Until next time, good luck!

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Back In A Limited Capacity

NBA LogoNFL LogoElldee Sports couldn’t be held out of commission for too long.  Although the NCAAF portion has still not been updated, the NFL numbers for Week 10 are up.  Take a look at what the formula is calling for as we try to maintain a win percentage vs the spread above 60%.

On top of the NFL numbers provided, the team at Elldee Sports has been able to update the numbers to run the first NBA games of the season under the NBA tab on the front page.  Take a look and enjoy.  Until next time, good luck!

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NFL Week 6 GotW: Carolina @ Tampa Bay (+2)

Carolina Panthers Logo     We have a revenge game for the Elldee Sports Game of the Week.  Back in Week 2, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers went into Charlotte and outmuscled the Carolina Panthers.  That was a different Panther team and Carolina wants to prove it to the nation.

Tampa Bay is off to a 2-3 start, alternating wins and losses, so far this season.  If the trend holds true, this week is a “win-week” for the Buccaneers.  It also bodes well for the Bucs that one of their two wins came against these very same Panthers just 3 weeks ago.  Now, Tampa are underdogs in their own house and are feeling disrespected!  This is not all that surprising though as they have yet to win a home game this season.  Jameis Winston has not looked horrible this year when he has time to thrown.  The common factor in the losses this season are the number of sacks taken and turnovers committed.  In the three losses, Winston has been sacked 13 times and thrown 4 picks.  Look for Carolina to try and get pressure early and often.

Stated above is the fact that Carolina has not looked like the same team since Week 2 ended.  All-Pro Quarterback Cam Newton revealed his preseason foot injury was worse than known and it affected his ability to transfer weight while passing causing too many overthrows and ultimately an inconsistent offense.  Since lesser known Kyle Allen has taken the reins of the offense, the Panthers are 3-0.  With the passing game becoming a threat again, Christian McCaffrey has finally had room to maneuver.  Carolina is hoping to continue the win streak.

The Elldee Sports team believes that the Panthers will indeed win this matchup.  They have revenge on their minds for a close Week 2 loss and how else to repay the Buccaneers than to return the favor and defeat them on THEIR home turf.  The play this week is to take the Panthers to win on the road.  Until next time, good luck.

Carolina 21 – Tampa Bay 15

Carolina -2 and Under 48

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