Turkey Day Blowout

NFL LogoThanksgiving is a time for reflection.  A time for showing appreciation for things you are grateful for.  A time for FOOTBALL!  This year’s slate is anchored by the usual suspects, the Detroit Lions and the Dallas Cowboys.  These Thanksgiving main-stays are joined by their opponents, the Chicago Bears and Buffalo Bills plus a third game between the New Orleans Saints and the Atlanta Falcons.

The crew here at Elldee Sports have run the numbers for the Thanksgiving games and the formula has come up with some pretty confident predictions.  We have strong leans on the winners of all three matchups.  Can the Lions turn the corner after an awful defeat at the hands of the Washington Redskins or will the Bears continue to scratch and claw towards the playoffs like a wild animal backed into a corner?  Will the Cowboys return to form on a short week or will Buffalo trip the home team?  Are the Atlanta Falcons just the next team to fall victim to Drew Brees and the Saints or will they prove last week’s loss to Tampa Bay was a fluke?

Come to Elldeesports.com for a complete score prediction and the win percentage for each game per the Elldee Sports Formula.  While you are there, you can look at the NCAAF, NBA, and NCAAM predictions.  We would also like to point out that on the year so far, the NCAAM predictions are 19-0 on the Moneyline for games with an 80% or higher projection!  Until next time, good luck.

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Weekend Full of Meaningful Matchups

Elldee Logo Original     The seasons are winding down on the gridiron and heating up on the courts.  This weekend is ready to provide some excitement on the turf and the hardwood, though, as we have Top-10 matchups in NCAA Football, heavyweights swinging in the NFL, early-season tourneys in NCAA Basketball, and teams jockeying for position in the NBA!

Starting things off on Friday night are College Basketball tournament action and big-time NBA matchups.  These are highlighted by the #1 Duke Blue Devils vs. the Georgetown Hoyas in the 2K Empire Classic in the world-famous Madison Square Garden.  Duke is favored by 13 and should easily cover that number in this early season test.  On the pro side of the sport, the Los Angeles Lakers are heading to Oklahoma City to put their 12-2 record on the line against the Thunder.  LA has the better record but OKC has home court advantage and 4.5-points on their side.  Look for OKC to stay within the spread and possibly even steal this one outright.

Saturday is the day where College Football is King!  The season is almost over and every game is important.  Any false moves now and there is no time for recovery in the playoff discussion.  There are no more impactful games this weekend in any sport than when the Penn State Nittany Lions travel to the Horseshoe to face THE Ohio State.  Although, not a de-facto playoff game, it may as well be as the loser will not make the 4-team tournament.  In a matchup of Top-10 teams, one would expect a tight game but that’s not the way Vegas sees it.  OSU is an 18-pt favorite in this one.  James Franklin is too good of a coach with too good of a team to get beaten that soundly.  Penn State and the points is what the Elldee Sports Formula is calling for.

Finally, the NFL is providing a game or two worth watching on Sunday to finish out the weekend.  There are only a few games with national appeal this weekend for the professional football league but boy are they whoppers!  In the early games, the cream of the crop has to be the Seattle Seahawks heading East to face the Philadelphia Eagles.  The numbers in the formula say the ‘Hawks by 8 but my mind says be wary of a team traveling from the West Coast for an early game.  In the afternoon slate, the Dallas Cowboys head to Foxboro to face the New England Patriots in what should be the game of the week.  The showcase should be the offense of Dallas vs the defense of NE in this mega-matchup.  The cold weather and travel is probably too much to overcome for the Cowboys with a prediction of a close 1-pt loss.

There are plenty of great options to choose from this weekend.  Sit down, grab a bag of popcorn and stay entertained!  Until next time, good luck!

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Prediction Recaps

NFL LogoNBA LogoNCAA LogoNCAA Logo 2Here at Elldee Sports, we are back up and running.  This includes all four sports that we predict, Professional Football and Basketball plus College Football and now College Basketball Top 25 games.

The NCAA Men’s Basketball world simply has too many teams and games to predict every single matchup.  I do not have enough time currently to run each individual game although we can run any matchup upon request.  This will be the first week that College Basketball will be posted and the rest of the season will be covered from this point on.

NBA matchups have been started to mixed results.  The formula had to have a minor tweak so that every game was not predicting the under.  After the first week, the NBA picks are not doing so hot.  Vs the Money Line, the picks are hitting 46.7% of the time.  Vs the Spread, the formula has been right only 45.5% of the time.  Vs the Total, we are finally in the positive, hitting on 52.8% of the games.  On a bright note, overall Spread and Total numbers have hit just on the plus side at 51.1% of the time.  Mind you, this has been a very small sample size and we fully expect these numbers to climb rapidly.

NCAA Football has been all over the place so far this season.  As the sample size grows, the formula becomes more accurate but due to a recent move, we have not been able to run numbers for the past 3 weeks.  Based off of the numbers that have been run so far, Elldee Sports has predicted a 77.3% Money Line win percentage.  Vs the Spread we have hit on 52% even.  Totals have gone 48% for the formula.  This has equaled a total of 49.8% overall with a strong chance to make a push here at the end of the season to end profitable in the college ranks.

Finally, the NFL has been our bread and butter.  Professional sports are much easier due to the fact that all teams are similar in talent and a small percentage of players move from team to team each year.  Keeping that in mind, the Money Line win percentage has been 65.2%.  The Money Line numbers are not eye-popping but the Spread covers have been a whopping 59.1% which has been absolutely stellar!  The Over/Under wins are rocking a 52.4%.  Additionally, the Overall win numbers have amounted to a solid 55.4%, good enough to be respectable.

Continue to follow Elldee Sports as all of the major sports are now in full swing.  Until next time, good luck!

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Back In A Limited Capacity

NBA LogoNFL LogoElldee Sports couldn’t be held out of commission for too long.  Although the NCAAF portion has still not been updated, the NFL numbers for Week 10 are up.  Take a look at what the formula is calling for as we try to maintain a win percentage vs the spread above 60%.

On top of the NFL numbers provided, the team at Elldee Sports has been able to update the numbers to run the first NBA games of the season under the NBA tab on the front page.  Take a look and enjoy.  Until next time, good luck!

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NFL Week 6 GotW: Carolina @ Tampa Bay (+2)

Carolina Panthers Logo     We have a revenge game for the Elldee Sports Game of the Week.  Back in Week 2, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers went into Charlotte and outmuscled the Carolina Panthers.  That was a different Panther team and Carolina wants to prove it to the nation.

Tampa Bay is off to a 2-3 start, alternating wins and losses, so far this season.  If the trend holds true, this week is a “win-week” for the Buccaneers.  It also bodes well for the Bucs that one of their two wins came against these very same Panthers just 3 weeks ago.  Now, Tampa are underdogs in their own house and are feeling disrespected!  This is not all that surprising though as they have yet to win a home game this season.  Jameis Winston has not looked horrible this year when he has time to thrown.  The common factor in the losses this season are the number of sacks taken and turnovers committed.  In the three losses, Winston has been sacked 13 times and thrown 4 picks.  Look for Carolina to try and get pressure early and often.

Stated above is the fact that Carolina has not looked like the same team since Week 2 ended.  All-Pro Quarterback Cam Newton revealed his preseason foot injury was worse than known and it affected his ability to transfer weight while passing causing too many overthrows and ultimately an inconsistent offense.  Since lesser known Kyle Allen has taken the reins of the offense, the Panthers are 3-0.  With the passing game becoming a threat again, Christian McCaffrey has finally had room to maneuver.  Carolina is hoping to continue the win streak.

The Elldee Sports team believes that the Panthers will indeed win this matchup.  They have revenge on their minds for a close Week 2 loss and how else to repay the Buccaneers than to return the favor and defeat them on THEIR home turf.  The play this week is to take the Panthers to win on the road.  Until next time, good luck.

Carolina 21 – Tampa Bay 15

Carolina -2 and Under 48

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NFL Week 5 GotW: Arizona @ Cincinnati (-3.5)

Arizona Cards Logo     Two winless teams, both looking for a brighter future.  Each of these teams have reason for optimism but success doesn’t come easy in the National Football League.  Arizona has high hopes for rookie sensation Kyler Murray and his playmaking ability while Cincinnati is leaning on the knowledge and prowess of new head coach Zac Taylor to escape the valley and climb to the peak!

The Arizona Cardinals come into this week’s game with an 0-3-1 record.  They have shown flashes of brilliance this season but not nearly enough to be relevant in the playoff picture.  The season is early, though, and there is still plenty of time to go on a run.  To make a run, the Cards will need to clean up their act as the passing attack is pitiful (21st) and the running game is worse (23rd).  If that wasn’t bad enough, the defense is second to last.  All of this is not surprising and is what was expected with a rookie quarterback and first year NFL Head Coach.  That doesn’t mean that things can’t change in Arizona, especially if the game slows down for Murray.

The Cincinnati Bengals (0-4) aren’t playing much better.  The one thing that you cannot have in the NFL is a one dimensional team and without injured star wide receiver AJ Green, the Bengals are just that.  This has allowed opposing defenses to stack the line and rendered the rushing attack to be less than pedestrian, averaging a meager 49 yards per game.  The poor offensive numbers, coupled with a -5 turnover margin, has put tremendous strain on the defense.  With the offense not producing, the defense has been on the field far too much each game.  Taylor is a quality coach and has won everywhere he has been so you can count on a turnaround before all is said in done.  AJ Green should be returning soon which could right the ship but it won’t be this week.

Both teams would love to begin a turnaround this week but only one can get the “W”.  In the “Battle for the Basement”, the Elldee Sports Formula says you can count on the Cardinals to stay within the spread and likely pull the outright upset.  This isn’t a must-win for either team but it is getting close to that point.  Until next time, good luck!

Arizona 20 – Cincinnati 14

Arizona +3.5 and Under 47.5

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NFL Week 4 GotW: Kansas City @ Detroit (+6)

Detroit Lions Logo     We have a wild one on tap for this Sunday when the Kansas City Chiefs visit the Detroit Lions.  Heading into Week 4, neither of these teams have tasted defeat but barring a tie, looking at you Detroit, one of these two will lose.  Mahomes vs. Stafford looks to be appointment TV.

Kansas City has picked up right where they left off last season.  They are far and away the top passing team, leading the second ranked team by over 80 yards.  Patrick Mahomes has certainly not fallen off and is on the path to being one of the best ever statistically.  As long as Head Coach Andy Reid is there, the offense will never struggle.  The defense on the other hand is up and down, doing just enough to enable the powerful offense to win games week-in and week-out.  The defense appears to be getting better but it is early in the year and 2 of the 3 opponents, Jacksonville and Oakland, are not exactly known as offensive juggernauts.

The Detroit Lions have been a bit of a surprise to Elldee Sports.  The offense has been slightly above the league average and the defense has been slightly below the league average.  That is no shock but the win-loss record is, posting a 2-0-1 through 3 Weeks.  Those two wins are over the Chargers at home and the Eagles on the road, not exactly pushovers.  Head Coach Matt Patricia, a Belichick disciple and defensive extraordinaire, will look to confuse Kansas City’s young quarterback.  Look for Detroit to slow the game down and expect Patricia to call his old boss for advice on slowing down the Chiefs.

Elldee Sports expects to see the Detroit Lions to jump to a quick lead and hang on for a victory.  If KC gets up early and forces pressure on the Lions, this could get out of hand in a very short amount of time, though.  The Elldee Sports Formula is calling for a close Detroit win in a high scoring affair.  While the Total and Money Line predictions are not over 80%, the determining line for Elldee Sports, the Spread is, so take Detroit and the points!  Until next time, good luck.

Detroit 31 – Kansas City 27

Detroit (+6)

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