NFL Week 6 GotW: Carolina @ Tampa Bay (+2)

Carolina Panthers Logo     We have a revenge game for the Elldee Sports Game of the Week.  Back in Week 2, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers went into Charlotte and outmuscled the Carolina Panthers.  That was a different Panther team and Carolina wants to prove it to the nation.

Tampa Bay is off to a 2-3 start, alternating wins and losses, so far this season.  If the trend holds true, this week is a “win-week” for the Buccaneers.  It also bodes well for the Bucs that one of their two wins came against these very same Panthers just 3 weeks ago.  Now, Tampa are underdogs in their own house and are feeling disrespected!  This is not all that surprising though as they have yet to win a home game this season.  Jameis Winston has not looked horrible this year when he has time to thrown.  The common factor in the losses this season are the number of sacks taken and turnovers committed.  In the three losses, Winston has been sacked 13 times and thrown 4 picks.  Look for Carolina to try and get pressure early and often.

Stated above is the fact that Carolina has not looked like the same team since Week 2 ended.  All-Pro Quarterback Cam Newton revealed his preseason foot injury was worse than known and it affected his ability to transfer weight while passing causing too many overthrows and ultimately an inconsistent offense.  Since lesser known Kyle Allen has taken the reins of the offense, the Panthers are 3-0.  With the passing game becoming a threat again, Christian McCaffrey has finally had room to maneuver.  Carolina is hoping to continue the win streak.

The Elldee Sports team believes that the Panthers will indeed win this matchup.  They have revenge on their minds for a close Week 2 loss and how else to repay the Buccaneers than to return the favor and defeat them on THEIR home turf.  The play this week is to take the Panthers to win on the road.  Until next time, good luck.

Carolina 21 – Tampa Bay 15

Carolina -2 and Under 48

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NCAAF Week 7 GotW: Texas Tech @ Baylor (-10)

Big 12 Logo     Raise your hand if you thought the Baylor Bears would be undefeated heading into Week 7?  I have a feeling that not many of you raised your hands.  That doesn’t mean they are a Big 12 Power and will steamroll the competition by simply showing up, especially against a Texas Tech team that showed grit in their last game.  The Texas Tech Red Raiders shocked Oklahoma State, beating them at their own game by outscoring the Cowboys.  Can they shock the College Football world again?

Texas Tech (3-2) come into this week off the back of an emotional victory over Oklahoma State.  The offense finally showed signs of life by scoring 45 points in the win, reverting back to early season form.  Junior quarterback Jett Duffey came alive in his first start of the year, throwing for over 400 yards and 4 touchdowns.  He hopes to carry that momentum into this week against the Baylor Bears.

The Baylor defense is not the Cowboys of Oklahoma State and I wouldn’t count on the Red Raiders hanging half a hundred on this stingy squad.  In fact, the Bears have a top 25 defense and have propped up this team, making it worthy of their #22 AP ranking this week.  The offense is methodical and has assisted in ensuring this team has stayed undefeated.  With the strong defense, the offense hasn’t been asked to score much and they haven’t needed to.  Will this be enough against the top teams in the Big 12?  Probably not but it should be this week vs. Texas Tech.

This game should be interesting and will show the world whether the Baylor Bears are for real or the undefeated season is all smoke and mirrors due to the schedule.  The Elldee Sports team has run the formula and they are calling for a Baylor cover and an under in this Game of the Week.  Until next time, good luck!

Baylor 35 – Texas Tech 7

Baylor -10 and Under 58

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NFL Week 5 GotW: Arizona @ Cincinnati (-3.5)

Arizona Cards Logo     Two winless teams, both looking for a brighter future.  Each of these teams have reason for optimism but success doesn’t come easy in the National Football League.  Arizona has high hopes for rookie sensation Kyler Murray and his playmaking ability while Cincinnati is leaning on the knowledge and prowess of new head coach Zac Taylor to escape the valley and climb to the peak!

The Arizona Cardinals come into this week’s game with an 0-3-1 record.  They have shown flashes of brilliance this season but not nearly enough to be relevant in the playoff picture.  The season is early, though, and there is still plenty of time to go on a run.  To make a run, the Cards will need to clean up their act as the passing attack is pitiful (21st) and the running game is worse (23rd).  If that wasn’t bad enough, the defense is second to last.  All of this is not surprising and is what was expected with a rookie quarterback and first year NFL Head Coach.  That doesn’t mean that things can’t change in Arizona, especially if the game slows down for Murray.

The Cincinnati Bengals (0-4) aren’t playing much better.  The one thing that you cannot have in the NFL is a one dimensional team and without injured star wide receiver AJ Green, the Bengals are just that.  This has allowed opposing defenses to stack the line and rendered the rushing attack to be less than pedestrian, averaging a meager 49 yards per game.  The poor offensive numbers, coupled with a -5 turnover margin, has put tremendous strain on the defense.  With the offense not producing, the defense has been on the field far too much each game.  Taylor is a quality coach and has won everywhere he has been so you can count on a turnaround before all is said in done.  AJ Green should be returning soon which could right the ship but it won’t be this week.

Both teams would love to begin a turnaround this week but only one can get the “W”.  In the “Battle for the Basement”, the Elldee Sports Formula says you can count on the Cardinals to stay within the spread and likely pull the outright upset.  This isn’t a must-win for either team but it is getting close to that point.  Until next time, good luck!

Arizona 20 – Cincinnati 14

Arizona +3.5 and Under 47.5

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NCAAF Week 6 GotW: Purdue @ Penn State (-27.5)

Big Ten Logo v1     As we enter Week 6 of the College Football Season, the elite teams have begun to separate themselves from the rest of the pack.  One team that was overlooked in it’s own conference has started to rise, like cream, to the top.  The Penn State Nittany Lions enter this week’s Elldee Sports Game of the Week facing the Purdue Boilermakers.  Can the Nittany Lions continue their torrid run at home in Happy Valley?

The Purdue Boilermakers had high hopes coming into this season, especially behind the playmaking ability of Rondale Moore.  Quarterback Elijah Sindelar returned for his Senior season and is in his second year in the system.  The defense returned 9 starters, albeit from a weak unit.  All in all, there was much to look forward to heading into the season.  Well, here we are heading to Week 6 and things have not gone to plan as the Boilermakers have a 1-3 record including a loss to the Nevada Wolfpack, a Group of Five school.  To make matters worse, Moore and Sindelar are both injured and things look bleak.  Young coach Jeff Brohm is going to need to pull some magic out of his hat to prevent a tailspin and salvage some type of momentum going into the offseason.

Flip the coin over and you have the Penn State Nittany Lions.  When this season began, most experts pegged Penn State as a 3rd place team in the Big Ten East.  As the year has progressed, Penn State has played with the heart of…well, a Lion!  The Nittany Lions are 4-0 with 3 blowouts and also a tough rivalry game win over Pitt to show they can handle pressure.  With a #14 ranking nationally in both total offense and total defense, the meat of the schedule begins.  Head Coach James Franklin must prove that he can win the big matchups and get this team over the hump.

With the way that Penn State has been playing, coupled with the injuries to the Boilermakers starting QB and star WR Moore, this is going to be a tall task for Purdue to steal a win on the road.  In fact, the Elldee Sports formula is predicting a complete demolition at the hands of the Nittany Lions.  The best bet is to take the Lions and the over in this one.  Until next time, good luck.

Penn State 70 – Purdue 7

Penn State (-27.5) and Over 55.5

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NFL Week 4 GotW: Kansas City @ Detroit (+6)

Detroit Lions Logo     We have a wild one on tap for this Sunday when the Kansas City Chiefs visit the Detroit Lions.  Heading into Week 4, neither of these teams have tasted defeat but barring a tie, looking at you Detroit, one of these two will lose.  Mahomes vs. Stafford looks to be appointment TV.

Kansas City has picked up right where they left off last season.  They are far and away the top passing team, leading the second ranked team by over 80 yards.  Patrick Mahomes has certainly not fallen off and is on the path to being one of the best ever statistically.  As long as Head Coach Andy Reid is there, the offense will never struggle.  The defense on the other hand is up and down, doing just enough to enable the powerful offense to win games week-in and week-out.  The defense appears to be getting better but it is early in the year and 2 of the 3 opponents, Jacksonville and Oakland, are not exactly known as offensive juggernauts.

The Detroit Lions have been a bit of a surprise to Elldee Sports.  The offense has been slightly above the league average and the defense has been slightly below the league average.  That is no shock but the win-loss record is, posting a 2-0-1 through 3 Weeks.  Those two wins are over the Chargers at home and the Eagles on the road, not exactly pushovers.  Head Coach Matt Patricia, a Belichick disciple and defensive extraordinaire, will look to confuse Kansas City’s young quarterback.  Look for Detroit to slow the game down and expect Patricia to call his old boss for advice on slowing down the Chiefs.

Elldee Sports expects to see the Detroit Lions to jump to a quick lead and hang on for a victory.  If KC gets up early and forces pressure on the Lions, this could get out of hand in a very short amount of time, though.  The Elldee Sports Formula is calling for a close Detroit win in a high scoring affair.  While the Total and Money Line predictions are not over 80%, the determining line for Elldee Sports, the Spread is, so take Detroit and the points!  Until next time, good luck.

Detroit 31 – Kansas City 27

Detroit (+6)

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NCAAF Week 5 GotW: Virginia @ Notre Dame (-11)

ND Logo     Welcome to Week 5 of College Football.  There does not appear to be many high profile games this week but there are some hidden gems.  Additionally, the weeks without many top 25 matchups usually carry the most excitement to include potential upsets!  The biggest game on the docket for this weekend is the Virginia Cavaliers traveling to South Bend to face the Notre Dame Fighting Irish.  The Golden Domers second big game in as many weeks.

Taken on face value, the Virginia Cavaliers do not appear to have played the toughest schedule.  Dig a little deeper though.  The Week 1 opening win against the Pitt Panthers, once considered a pushover, looks much better after Pitt defeated the UCF Golden Knights last weekend.  Old Dominion has two close losses to the state’s flagship schools and may be better than they currently look.  The offense has been fairly stale but paired with the 30th ranked defense, Virginia has been able to average 36 points per game.  This is a team that leans heavily on their defense and discipline, a direct reflection of their Head Coach Bronco Mendenhall.  Expect this team to be prepared to play hard.

Notre Dame is an upper echelon team and they proved that on the field last week.  The Irish gave the Georgia Bulldogs all they could handle, dropping an emotional game on the road.  There is no doubt that this group is one of the best in the country and the statistics prove that.  The offense is about 60 yards per game and 3 points per game better than Virginia while the Defense is slightly worse but not as far behind as you may think.  The worry for the Fighting Irish is what the mindset will be following a draining road game.  South Bend is home sweet home but will that be enough to carry a weary team past a hungry Cavalier team?  Tune in this weekend to find out.

The crew at Elldee Sports think that home-field advantage, sheer talent level, and a great game-planner in Brian Kelly will be enough to propel Notre Dame to another victory.  The game will not be a cake walk though, as the Elldee Sports Formula is predicting a low-scoring slugfest with Notre Dame hanging on and winning late.  Until next time, good luck!

Notre Dame 9 – Virginia 8

Virginia (+11) and Under 50.5

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Week 4 NCAAF GotW: Oklahoma State @ Texas (-5.5)

Big 12 Logo     Time has arrived for College Football to go wholesale into conference competition.  I know, I know, there have already been conference matchups but starting this week, a majority of teams will play conference foes.  That is no different in the Big XII and one of the best games of the week for all of the NCAA is the Oklahoma State Cowboys at the Texas Longhorns.  Let’s jump right in to this matchup.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys travel down from Stillwater, OK and bring one of the most potent offenses in the country.  In fact, they have the NCAA’s leading rusher in Chuba Hubbard, who also leads the country in rushing TDs!  The Pokes are not only a rushing team though.  They also throw for over 260 yards per game.  These numbers are good enough to account for 50 more yards per game than the Longhorns.  Even the defense is playing better than Texas, at least statistically, holding opponents to 30 yards less per game.  Add all of that in to fact that Texas has not beaten Oklahoma St. in 5 years and have not won at home in Austin in 10 and you can make a compelling argument for the Cowboys to steal another on the road.

Texas is having none of it though!  You can bring up a 4-game losing streak  to the Longhorn players and they will all say the same thing…this isn’t the same Texas.  They would be right, too.  This year’s Texas squad has higher expectations than any this decade and those expectations are realistic this time.  Sam Ehlinger leads the Longhorns and has proven to be adept at reading defenses that are much better than Oklahoma State’s defense.  Texas will be playing with a chip on their shoulder and have been tested once already this season.  Emotions will be high and the Longhorns are gonna be pumped up for this one!

So how are these teams going to fare against each other this week?  The Elldee Sports Formula is calling for a high scoring affair, with the Oklahoma State Cowboys ultimately coming out on top.  Texas has shown that they are vulnerable in the secondary after giving up just under 500 yards through the air vs LSU.  Oklahoma State is known more for passing than LSU.  The problem is that the Longhorns cannot load up on DBs with Chuba Hubbard waiting to gain 8 yards a pop!  Don’t worry about Texas, though.  They have the offensive fire-power to keep up in this matchup.  Until next time, good luck.

Oklahoma State 52 – Texas 47

Oklahoma State (+5.5) and Over 73

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